Quantitative modelling of type Ia supernovae spectral time series II:Exploring the diversity of thermonuclear explosion scenarios

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ID: 333737
2026
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Abstract
Abstract Observations of type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) have led to suggestions of multiple progenitor and explosion scenarios. Distinguishing between scenarios and tying specific SNe Ia to individual scenarios however has so far been challenging. Constraints on the explosion physics are often achieved through empirical modelling of SNe Ia spectra and qualitative assessments of the level of agreement. While this approach has provided useful insights, it cannot be scaled up to large numbers of SNe Ia in a robust and systematic way. riddler is a machine learning based framework for automated and quantitative fitting of SNe Ia designed to overcome these limitations. Neural networks are used as radiative transfer emulators and, in conjunction with nested sampling, emulated spectra are fit to observations of SNe Ia to determine the best-fitting input parameters and explosion scenario. In this work, we present recent improvements to riddler, including a significantly expanded training dataset covering pure deflagrations, delayed detonations, double detonations, gravitationally confined detonations, and violent mergers. We show that despite the increased complexity and variety of our training data, riddler is able to accurately recover the input parameters and explosion scenario of spectra unseen during training. Using riddler, we fit observations of three SNe Ia covering different sub-classes: SN 2011fe, SN 2005hk, and SN 2018byg. We detail a number of limitations and assumptions that should be considered when applying similar approaches. Nevertheless, the benefits of this approach and riddler will result in automated fitting playing an increasingly important role in the coming years.
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Authors M. Magee
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Journal monthly notices of the royal astronomical society
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/mnras/stag2040
URL
https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stag2040
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