Rising Coastal Wave Hazards from Climate-Driven Winds and Tropical Cyclones

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ID: 326237
2026
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Abstract
Abstract Coastal wave storms are intense, long-lasting hazards that threaten populated shorelines worldwide. Under global warming, large-scale wind patterns are changing and modifying ocean surface waves. However, the long-term evolution of coastal wave storms and the drivers of their change remain poorly quantified on global scales. Here, using global wave simulations with corrected tropical-cyclone winds for 1990-2023, we show that coastal wave storm frequency increases worldwide, with the strongest rise along the Atlantic coasts (∼5%/decade). This basin-wide enhancement is primarily driven by intensified nearshore winds, while tropical cyclones act as an additional amplifier. Combining changes in frequency, duration and intensity, we identify the Yellow Sea-East China Sea and the Northwest Atlantic coasts as emerging hotspots of rapidly intensifying wave hazards. Our findings provide the first global-scale baseline for attributing coastal wave-storm trends to changes in the wind-storm environment, thereby informing early-warning systems and guiding adaptation strategies under continued climate change.
Reference Key
openalex_W7203977789 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Ruizi Shi, Jinzhong Min, Changming Dong, Rong‐Hua Zhang, Fanghua Xu
Journal national science review
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/nsr/nwag528
URL
https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwag528
Keywords Keywords not found

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