Bayesian estimation of spectral parameters of the 6.7-GHz methanol maser G339.884-1.259 from GRAO observations

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ID: 315647
2026
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Abstract
Abstract Accurate decomposition of methanol maser spectra is essential for constraining the kinematics and physical conditions of high-mass star-forming regions, particularly in complex blended spectra where small differences in component structure can alter physical interpretation. Conventional profile fitting approaches often rely on fixed Gaussian decompositions that do not fully capture non-Gaussian spectral structure and provide limited statistical characterisation of parameter uncertainties. To address this, we develop a Bayesian spectral decomposition framework that models the 6.7 GHz methanol maser emission using alternative Gaussian, Lorentzian, and Voigt profile families, with parameter posteriors inferred through Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. This probabilistic framework enables simultaneous model comparison, uncertainty quantification, and statistically consistent estimation of spectral components. Application to the methanol maser G339.884−1.259 observed with the Ghana Radio Astronomy Observatory reveals a complex multi-component spectrum composed of seven velocity-coherent features with tightly constrained parameters. Comparative analysis demonstrates that models incorporating both Doppler-like cores and Lorentzian wing structure provide the statistically preferred representation of the observed spectra, yielding the lowest information criteria (AIC ≈1.98 × 104; BIC ≈1.99 × 104), the smallest residual errors (RMSE ≈11.1 Jy), and the highest goodness-of-fit (R2 ≈ 0.985). In contrast, purely Gaussian or Lorentzian representations leave systematic residual structure near the line wings and strongest maser components. Elevated reduced $\chi ^{2}_{\nu }$ values across all tested models further indicate that unresolved spectral substructure, non-ideal noise properties, and intrinsic line-profile complexity remain important limitations in single-dish maser decomposition. These results demonstrate that Bayesian inference provides a robust and reproducible framework for analysing complex maser spectra while simultaneously quantifying parameter uncertainties and model limitations. The methodology is readily extendable to other molecular line studies and establishes a pathway toward integrating statistically rigorous spectral modelling with high-resolution interferometric observations to better constrain the dynamics and environments of massive star formation.
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openalex_W7163360008 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Theophilus Ansah-Narh, Stephen Sottie, Nia Imara, Emmanuel Proven-Adzri
Journal monthly notices of the royal astronomical society
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/mnras/stag1039
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Keywords Keywords not found

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