Social Protection and the Impact of the Pandemic in a Conflict Country

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ID: 314457
2026
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Abstract
Abstract While the pandemic has taken a toll on lives and livelihoods across the world, the impact on low-income countries in conflict can be significantly worse: Due to conflict, a large share of the already meager public expenditures is allocated to security, while public services are contained only within the areas that the government controls. Focusing on Afghanistan as a case study, this chapter discusses how the pandemic has further exacerbated the economic, health, and social conditions. It initially describes and evaluate the characteristics, coverage, and outcomes of the social protection system. It then traces the evolution and current state of the economy and poverty, reviews the state of health services, and estimates the effects of the pandemic based on a model specifically developed for Afghanistan regarding the impact on (a) GDP arising from domestic and regional factors (e.g., reduction in trade with trading partner countries as well as the repatriation of Afghan workers from those countries, and (b) the resulting impact on public revenues and the government’s (in)ability to provide an adequate health and social protection response amid continuing conflict, weak governance, and limited national outreach. The chapter concludes with proposals for social protection to (a) mitigate the humanitarian crisis from immediate impact of the pandemic on the general population, as well as the internally displaced and refugees, and (b) create a basis for building an adequate and feasible social protection system in the longer run.
Reference Key
openalex_W7161977088 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Şebnem Şahin, Zafiris Tzannatos
Journal Oxford University Press eBooks
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/oxfordhb/9780197761465.013.0014
URL
https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780197761465.013.0014
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