The Dynamics of Internal Migration: A New Fact and its Implications

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ID: 314081
2026
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Abstract
Abstract We propose a new model of internal migration, based on persistent and spatially-correlated idiosyncratic utility. The model is motivated by a new fact in the data that simple moving cost models struggle to match: the t-year interstate migration rate is proportional to the square root of t. The new model maintains the tractability and flexibility of standard migration models, but better matches the dynamics of migration, including the new fact. It has substantially different welfare implications and makes different counterfactual predictions, especially in terms of dynamic adjustment and long-run responses.
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openalex_W7161652192 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Greg Howard, Hansen Shao
Journal The Review of Economic Studies
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/restud/rdag049
URL
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