History Versus Expectations

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ID: 299816
1991
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Abstract
In models with external economies, there are often two or more long-run equilibria. Which equilibrium is chosen? Much of the literature presumes that "history" sets initial conditions that determine the outcome, but an alternative view stresses the role of "expectations," i.e., of self-fulfilling prophecy. This paper uses a simple trade model with both external economies and adjustment costs to show how the parameters of the economy determine the relative importance of history and expectations in determining equilibrium.
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openalex_W2122403554 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Paúl Krugman
Journal the quarterly journal of economics
Year 1991
DOI
10.2307/2937950
URL
Keywords Keywords not found

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