liberalização da conta de capitais e inflação: a experiência brasileira no período pós-real
تحرير حساب رأس المال والتضخم: التجربة البرازيلية في فترة ما بعد الريال
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Abstract
In the 1990s the idea that capital account liberalization represented a mechanism for disciplining the conduction of the monetary policy in the search for price stability was developed. Based on this argument, a new version of Gruben e McLeod's (2001) model applying a dynamic public debt constraint to the monetary authority's utility function is made. Furthermore, an empirical analysis (through application of VAR) was made for the Brazilian case with the objective of evaluating if the increase in the capital account liberalization after the introduction of the Real Plan contributed to price stability. The findings denote that a decrease in the capital account liberalization is capable of attenuating inflationary pressure and that the duration of this effect depends on the exchange regime used.
في تسعينيات القرن العشرين، تبلورت فكرة أن تحرير حساب رأس المال يمثل آلية لضبط إدارة السياسة النقدية في إطار السعي لتحقيق استقرار الأسعار. وانطلاقاً من هذه الحجة، أُعدت نسخة جديدة من نموذج غروبن وماكليود (Gruben and McLeod, 2001) تطبق قيداً ديناميكياً للدين العام على دالة المنفعة الخاصة بالسلطة النقدية. فضلاً عن ذلك، أُجري تحليل قياسي (من خلال تطبيق نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجه VAR) للحالة البرازيلية بهدف تقييم ما إذا كان الارتفاع في وتيرة تحرير حساب رأس المال في أعقاب تطبيق "خطة الريال" قد أسهم في استقرار الأسعار. وتفيد النتائج بأن تراجع تحرير حساب رأس المال قادر على تخفيف الضغط التضخمي، وأن استمرارية هذا الأثر تعتمد على نظام الصرف المعمول به.
| Reference Key |
mendona2006estudosliberalizao
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;Helder Ferreira de Mendonça;Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires |
| Journal | trends in biochemical sciences |
| Year | 2006 |
| DOI |
10.1590/S0101-41612006000100007
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| URL | |
| Keywords |
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