liberalização da conta de capitais e inflação: a experiência brasileira no período pós-real
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ID: 221576
2006
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Abstract
Nos anos 1990 desenvolveu-se a idéia de que a liberalização da conta de capitais seria capaz de disciplinar a condução da política monetária para a busca da estabilidade de preços. Com base neste argumento é feito um desenvolvimento para o modelo Gruben e McLeod (2001) por meio da inclusão da dinâmica da dívida pública como uma restrição à função utilidade da autoridade monetária. Ademais, é feita uma análise empírica para o caso brasileiro no período posterior à introdução do Plano Real (por meio da aplicação de VAR) com o objetivo de avaliar se o aumento da liberalização da conta de capitais contribuiu para a estabilidade de preços. Os resultados encontrados sugerem que uma redução na liberalização da conta de capitais é capaz de atenuar a pressão inflacionária e que a duração deste efeito depende do regime de câmbio em vigor.
In the 1990s the idea that capital account liberalization represented a mechanism for disciplining the conduction of the monetary policy in the search for price stability was developed. Based on this argument, a new version of Gruben e McLeod's (2001) model applying a dynamic public debt constraint to the monetary authority's utility function is made. Furthermore, an empirical analysis (through application of VAR) was made for the Brazilian case with the objective of evaluating if the increase in the capital account liberalization after the introduction of the Real Plan contributed to price stability. The findings denote that a decrease in the capital account liberalization is capable of attenuating inflationary pressure and that the duration of this effect depends on the exchange regime used.
In the 1990s the idea that capital account liberalization represented a mechanism for disciplining the conduction of the monetary policy in the search for price stability was developed. Based on this argument, a new version of Gruben e McLeod's (2001) model applying a dynamic public debt constraint to the monetary authority's utility function is made. Furthermore, an empirical analysis (through application of VAR) was made for the Brazilian case with the objective of evaluating if the increase in the capital account liberalization after the introduction of the Real Plan contributed to price stability. The findings denote that a decrease in the capital account liberalization is capable of attenuating inflationary pressure and that the duration of this effect depends on the exchange regime used.
| Reference Key |
mendona2006estudosliberalizao
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;Helder Ferreira de Mendonça;Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires |
| Journal | trends in biochemical sciences |
| Year | 2006 |
| DOI |
10.1590/S0101-41612006000100007
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| URL | |
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