logistic regression applied to natural hazards: rare event logistic regression with replications

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ID: 159215
2012
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Abstract
Statistical analysis of natural hazards needs particular attention, as most of these phenomena are rare events. This study shows that the ordinary rare event logistic regression, as it is now commonly used in geomorphologic studies, does not always lead to a robust detection of controlling factors, as the results can be strongly sample-dependent. In this paper, we introduce some concepts of Monte Carlo simulations in rare event logistic regression. This technique, so-called rare event logistic regression with replications, combines the strength of probabilistic and statistical methods, and allows overcoming some of the limitations of previous developments through robust variable selection. This technique was here developed for the analyses of landslide controlling factors, but the concept is widely applicable for statistical analyses of natural hazards.
Reference Key
guns2012naturallogistic Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors ;M. Guns;V. Vanacker
Journal anziam journal
Year 2012
DOI
10.5194/nhess-12-1937-2012
URL
http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/12/1937/2012/nhess-12-1937-2012.pdf
Keywords
anthropology recreationenvironmental sciencesgeology sanitary engineeringgeography environmental technology

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