A Poisson Autoregressive Model to Understand COVID-19 Contagion Dynamics
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ID: 114841
2020
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Abstract
We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19, which can heavily impact health, economics and finance. The model is a Poisson autoregression of the daily new observed cases, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is each country on that trend. Model results are exemplified from some observed series.
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agosto2020risksa
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| Authors | Arianna Agosto;Paolo Giudici;Agosto, Arianna;Giudici, Paolo; |
| Journal | risks |
| Year | 2020 |
| DOI |
10.3390/risks8030077
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