Antarctic Ice Sheet and emission scenario controls on 21st-century extreme sea-level changes.

Clicks: 259
ID: 105475
2020
Article Quality & Performance Metrics
Overall Quality
Not rated
Combines reader engagement with the AI quality analysis. This article has not been analysed, so there is no overall score — reader engagement is measured and shown alongside.
AI Quality Assessment
Not analyzed
Readership in this journal
Emerging

Ranked #209 of 485 articles by views in Nature communications

Most read Least read

Bar heights use a square-root scale. Only the 120 most-read articles are drawn; the journal has 485 in total.

Mint this article as an NFT
Not yet minted

Create a permanent, verifiable on-chain record of this article on the Scimatic Network. The NFT is held in your Journament account, and you can withdraw it to your own wallet at any time.

5 SUSD one-off · no wallet required
Sign in to mint
Abstract
Uncertainties in Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios and Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) melt propagate into uncertainties in projected mean sea-level (MSL) changes and extreme sea-level (ESL) events. Here we quantify the impact of RCP scenarios and AIS contributions on 21st-century ESL changes at tide-gauge sites across the globe using extreme-value statistics. We find that even under RCP2.6, almost half of the sites could be exposed annually to a present-day 100-year ESL event by 2050. Most tropical sites face large increases in ESL events earlier and for scenarios with smaller MSL changes than extratropical sites. Strong emission reductions lower the probability of large ESL changes but due to AIS uncertainties, cannot fully eliminate the probability that large increases in frequencies of ESL events will occur. Under RCP8.5 and rapid AIS mass loss, many tropical sites, including low-lying islands face a MSL rise by 2100 that exceeds the present-day 100-year event level.
Reference Key
frederikse2020antarcticnature Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Frederikse, Thomas;Buchanan, Maya K;Lambert, Erwin;Kopp, Robert E;Oppenheimer, Michael;Rasmussen, D J;Wal, Roderik S W van de;
Journal Nature communications
Year 2020
DOI
10.1038/s41467-019-14049-6
URL
Keywords
perovskite solar cell dip coating electron selective layer evaporation-induced self-assembly mesoporous tio2 pinhole

Citations

No citations found. To add a citation, contact the admin at info@scimatic.org

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to comment on this article.