Understanding Unreported Cases in the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Wuhan, China, and the Importance of Major Public Health Interventions.

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ID: 100550
2020
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Abstract
We develop a mathematical model to provide epidemic predictions for the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China. We use reported case data up to 31 January 2020 from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission to parameterize the model. From the parameterized model, we identify the number of unreported cases. We then use the model to project the epidemic forward with varying levels of public health interventions. The model predictions emphasize the importance of major public health interventions in controlling COVID-19 epidemics.
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liu2020understandingbiology Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Liu, Zhihua;Magal, Pierre;Seydi, Ousmane;Webb, Glenn;
Journal Biology
Year 2020
DOI
E50
URL
Keywords
isolation quarantine corona virus epidemic mathematical model public closings reported and unreported cases

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