Unravelling the link between global rubber price and tropical deforestation in Cambodia.

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ID: 92881
2019
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Abstract
Tropical forests continue to undergo a rapid transformation. The expansion of rubber tree (Hevea brasiliensis) plantations has been reported as a major driver of forest loss, linked to a boom in market demand. Distant commodity markets have spurred a surge of large-scale economic land concessions granted throughout tropical Southeast Asia. Using satellite imagery, we show the impact of rubber tree plantations on Cambodian forest cover and analyse how annual forest-to-rubber conversion rates relate to global rubber prices from 2001 to 2015. We found that 23.5 ± 1.8% of national forest cover was cleared in this period, with 23.2 ± 3.6% of cleared forest converted to rubber plantations. Annual forest-to-rubber conversion rates closely correlated with global rubber prices, with a time lag of 8-9 months (Pearson's r = 0.93). Our results reveal a strong link between global commodity markets and tropical forest loss, particularly in countries with land policies geared towards rapid development.
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grogan2019unravellingnature Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Grogan, Kenneth;Pflugmacher, Dirk;Hostert, Patrick;Mertz, Ole;Fensholt, Rasmus;
Journal nature plants
Year 2019
DOI
10.1038/s41477-018-0325-4
URL
Keywords
phosphate rock cadmium regulation hirschman-herfindahl index industrial mineral markets market concentration phosphate trade reserve–consumption ratio trade statistic

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