Forecasting stochastic neural network based on financial empirical mode decomposition.

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2017
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Abstract
In an attempt to improve the forecasting accuracy of stock price fluctuations, a new one-step-ahead model is developed in this paper which combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with stochastic time strength neural network (STNN). The EMD is a processing technique introduced to extract all the oscillatory modes embedded in a series, and the STNN model is established for considering the weight of occurrence time of the historical data. The linear regression performs the predictive availability of the proposed model, and the effectiveness of EMD-STNN is revealed clearly through comparing the predicted results with the traditional models. Moreover, a new evaluated method (q-order multiscale complexity invariant distance) is applied to measure the predicted results of real stock index series, and the empirical results show that the proposed model indeed displays a good performance in forecasting stock market fluctuations.
Reference Key
wang2017forecastingneural Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Wang, Jie;Wang, Jun;
Journal neural networks : the official journal of the international neural network society
Year 2017
DOI
S0893-6080(17)30057-6
URL
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