The cultural origins of the demographic transition in France

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ID: 338007
2026
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Abstract
Abstract This research shows that secularization accounts for the early fertility decline in France. Why the demographic transition began in France a century before any other country is one of the big questions of history because it challenges traditional explanations and because of data limitations. Using a novel dataset crowdsourced from online genealogies, I comprehensively document the decline and its timing. Then, I document the loss of influence of the Catholic Church and find a strong and robust association with the timing of the transition. Finally, I explore the drivers of secularization and discuss the transition’s impact on economic growth.
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openalex_W4390865542 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Guillaume Blanc
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Journal the economic journal
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/ej/ueag140
URL
https://academic.oup.com/ej/advance-article-pdf/doi/10.1093/ej/ueag140/72621486/ueag140.pdf
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