Climate Change as a Non-Traditional Security Threat in South Asia: Implications for Water Security and Regional Stability

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ID: 336898
2024
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Ranked #62 of 953 articles by views in Pakistan Social Sciences Review

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Abstract
This study examines climate change as a non-traditional security threat in South Asia, analysing its implications for water security and regional stability. South Asia ranks among the world’s most climate-vulnerable regions, heavily reliant on Hindu Kush– Himalayan glacial systems and monsoon rainfall. Rising temperatures, erratic monsoon patterns, accelerated glacial melt, and increasing extreme weather events are intensifying water insecurity, with cascading effects on interstate tensions, internal political stability, and forced migration. A quantitative survey design was employed, collecting data from 310 respondents across South Asian countries using a structured Likert-scale questionnaire. Statistical analyses included normality testing, reliability assessment, construct validity, correlation, and multiple regression. All climate change variables demonstrated significant positive relationships with water insecurity and regional instability. Water security emerged as a critical mediating variable, and transboundary water governance served as a significant moderator in the climate– stability nexus. Policymakers should prioritise adaptive water management, strengthen transboundary governance frameworks, and promote regional cooperation to effectively mitigate the destabilising impacts of climate variability in South Asia.
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Authors
Journal Pakistan Social Sciences Review
Year 2024
DOI
10.35484/pssr.2024(8-III)82
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