Trade, Human Capital, and Income Risk,

Clicks: 17
ID: 332216
2026
Free PDF
Article Quality & Performance Metrics
Overall Quality
Not rated
Combines reader engagement with the AI quality analysis. This article has not been analysed, so there is no overall score — reader engagement is measured and shown alongside.
AI Quality Assessment
Not analyzed
Readership in this journal
Emerging

Ranked #37 of 46 articles by views in journal of the european economic association

Most read Least read

Bar heights use a square-root scale.

Mint this article as an NFT
Not yet minted

Create a permanent, verifiable on-chain record of this article on the Scimatic Network. The NFT is held in your Journament account, and you can withdraw it to your own wallet at any time.

5 SUSD one-off · no wallet required
Sign in to mint
Abstract
Abstract In this paper, we study the causal relationship between trade exposure and individual income risk, with emphasis on the role of human capital. We use a rich worker-level longitudinal dataset from Germany spanning the period 1976-2012, and find industry trade exposure to be causally related to income risk: Imports increase risk and exports decrease risk in an economically significant manner. Importantly, there is a complex interplay between human capital and the linkage between trade and risk: On average, individuals with higher levels of industry- or occupation-specific human capital experience lower risk. However, an increase in industry net imports increases risk more for workers with higher levels of industry tenure. Although net imports are also associated with declines in the mean income of these workers, the estimated effect on income levels is economically small. Our welfare framework, which jointly considers both mean income and income risk, shows that the welfare consequences of trade exposure are quantitatively dominated by the risk channel.
Reference Key
openalex_W7221719488 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Liuchun Deng, Pravin Krishna, Mine Zeynep Senses, Jens Stegmaier
Are you one of these authors? Claim your profile
Journal journal of the european economic association
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/jeea/jvag064
URL
https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvag064
Keywords Keywords not found

Citations

No citations found. To add a citation, contact the admin at info@scimatic.org

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to comment on this article.