Original Sin Redux: Role of Duration Risk*

Clicks: 32
ID: 329961
2026
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Ranked #64 of 209 articles by views in review of financial studies

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Abstract
Abstract We highlight the role of duration and exchange rate risks on portfolio flows by using a unique and comprehensive database of U.S. investor flows into emerging market government bonds denominated in local currency. Borrowing long-term mitigates rollover risk but amplifies valuation changes that further interact with currency movements. Our analysis highlights the double-edged nature of long-term borrowing and draws attention to market stress dynamics due to strategic complementarities among mutual fund investors.
Reference Key
openalex_W7214487321 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors
Journal review of financial studies
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhag088
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