Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in Pakistan: Using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) Approach

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ID: 316148
2024
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Abstract
This study attempts to examine the pass-through impact of exchange rates on consumer prices in the specific context of Pakistan. To completely assess this association, a thorough configuration of five variables was carefully picked. The dataset covers financial patterns spanning more than twenty years, from January 2000 to December 2021. With the utilization of multivariate analysis and a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model, the analysis presents convincing fragments of the data. The data indicates that fluctuations in the exchange rate have a significant impact on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Impulse Response (IR) analysis incorporates this association, mirroring a positive relationship between the two variables. In like manner, Granger causality analysis reveals understanding into the sharp control of the CPI in wrapping up exchange rate shifts. Unendingly out, these revelations feature the squeezing position of the exchange rate in making feeling of expansion parts inside Pakistan's monetary scene.
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imported_1780933789_6a26e49dba984 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Mustansar Aatizaz, Shahzada Aatzaz, Ghazanfar Aatzaz, Maliha Aitzaz
Journal Journal of Statistics
Year 2024
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