Synthetic Control Inference for Staggered Adoption

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ID: 315282
2026
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Abstract
Abstract Many policies are replicated by other policymakers at different times. We introduce a synthetic control methodology to study policies with staggered adoption. Our method estimates the dynamic average treatment effects on the treated using variation introduced by the staggered adoption of policies. Our method gives asymptotically unbiased estimators of many interesting quantities and delivers asymptotically valid inference. Applying the method to intergovernmental coordination reforms that centralize information sharing and enable joint policing across jurisdictions, we find that violent theft and cartel activity fall after adoption. Homicide is largely unchanged for most post-treatment periods, but rises later on.
Reference Key
openalex_W7162749791 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Jianfei Cao, Shirley Lu, Hang Wu
Journal econometrics journal
Year 2026
DOI
10.1093/ectj/utag015
URL
Keywords Keywords not found

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