From Launching to Interception: Five International Humanitarian Law Constraints in the Iran & Israel Missiles War 2025

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2025
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Abstract
In June 2025, missile interchange war between Iran and Israel lasted for the twelve days which caused reason for stiffest pursuing queries in contemporary international humanitarian law (IHL) which are: attacks on dual use infrastructure in condensed urban areas, third state assisted interception at extensive level with abnormally high neutralization proportions, and the varied precision use of missiles attacks damage intermingled with defensive debris jeopardies. Five doctrinal stress themes incompletely defined by current black-letter rules has been separated in the study expresses as: whether and how much impact on ex-ante proportionality due to anticipatable interception; what are obligatory possible precautions for defenders causing debris and temporary service interruption; how responsibilities are allocated to third states during assisted defense by involving them through their substantially designed geometry and scheduling arrangement; how “definite military advantage” is restricted and justification for civilian harm in small revengeful operations; and when missile functional indiscrimination usage in cities is reduced due to inaccuracy or splash damage in region. The objective is to transform IHL’s citizen defense wisdom into decision phase principles which would practical and assessable in operational terms. The study examines a doctrinal and operative combination of 2025 open source interpretations and contemporary technical legal literature for methodology, and then rules of decision are filtered out for any in-field commanding officer and IHL functioning lawyer. The investigation finds (i) proportionality design with double track (unmitigated vs. defense attuned damage) containing three thresholds of ‘recentness’, ‘specificity’, and ‘transparency’; (ii) precautionary duties of defender in lieu of interception design i.e. geometry, scheduling, means, warnings, debris diagramming; (iii) quantifiable impact allocation during aided defense through least mutual data set and combined decisions record; (iv) ‘Cascades and Warnings’ or equivalent precautions based time restricted twofold usage targeting; and (v) Functional limiting principles for usage of indiscriminate input to ‘Circular Error Probable’ (CEP) and radii impact in metropolitan networks. Final recommendations for instant implementation inside ‘Rule of Engagement’ (ROE) and physical activity are: adopting the checklist as obligatory, impose civilian harm (cascade-inclusive) model, command partners to share debris/track data that matter for civilian risk, and implement conventional accuracy expectations rule when it persisted improbability. 
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Authors Saima Butt
Journal Pakistan Journal of Islamic Research
Year 2025
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