An Anatomy of Trading Strategies

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ID: 301391
1998
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Abstract
In this article we use a single unifying framework to analyze the sources of profits to a wide spectrum of return-based trading strategies implemented in the literature. We show that less than 50% of the 120 strategies implemented in the article yield statistically significant profits and, unconditionally, momentum and contrarian strategies are equally likely to be successful. However, when we condition on the return horizon (short, medium, or long) of the strategy, or the time period during which it is implemented, two patterns emerge. A momentum strategy is usually profitable at the medium (3- to 12-months) horizon, while a contrarian strategy nets statistically significant profits at long horizons, but only during the 1926–1947 subperiod. More importantly, our results show that the cross-sectional variation in the mean returns of individual securities included in these strategies play an important role in their profitability. The cross-sectional variation can potentially account for the profitability of momentum strategies and it is also responsible for attenuating the profits from price reversals to long-horizon contrarian strategies.
Reference Key
openalex_W2023826935 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Jennifer Conrad, Gautam Kaul
Journal review of financial studies
Year 1998
DOI
10.1093/rfs/11.3.489
URL
https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/11.3.489
Keywords Keywords not found

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