Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time

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ID: 289548
1975
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Ranked #49 of 145 articles by views in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)

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Abstract
Summary Methods for studying the stability over time of regression relationships are considered. Recursive residuals, defined to be uncorrelated with zero means and constant variance, are introduced and tests based on the cusum and cusum of squares of recursive residuals are developed. Further techniques based on moving regressions, in which the regression model is fitted from a segment of data which is moved along the series, and on regression models whose coefficients are polynomials in time are studied. The Quandt log-likelihood ratio statistic is considered. Emphasis is placed on the use of graphical methods. The techniques proposed have been embodied in a comprehensive computer program, timvar. Use of the techniques is illustrated by applying them to three sets of data.
Reference Key
openalex_W1531653575 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors R. L. Brown, J. Durbin, Jessica Evans
Journal Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Year 1975
DOI
10.1111/j.2517-6161.1975.tb01532.x
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