Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars

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ID: 288154
2018
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Ranked #34 of 1,244 articles by views in ADVANCES IN ARCHAEOLOGICAL PRACTICE

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Abstract
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Reference Key
persistent_1761420399_68fd246f05de2 Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Deborah G. Mayo
Journal ADVANCES IN ARCHAEOLOGICAL PRACTICE
Year 2018
DOI
10.1017/9781107286184
URL
Keywords Keywords not found

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