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Abstract
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2025 Nov 24;11(11):CD015363. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD015363.pub2. Effects of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programmes on community rates of HPV-related disease and harms from vaccination. Henschke N, Bergman H, Buckley BS(1), Crosbie EJ, Dwan K, Golder SP, Kyrgiou M, Loke YK, McIntosh HM, Probyn K, Villanueva G, Morrison J(8)(9).(2)Department of Surgery, University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines. (3)Division of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. (4)Centre for Reviews and Dissemination, University of York, York, UK. (5)Department of Health Sciences, University of York, York, UK. (6)IRDB, Department of Gut, Metabolism & Reproduction - Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK. (7)Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK. (8)Department of Gynaecological Oncology, Musgrove Park Hospital, Taunton, UK. (9)Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK. Update of doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD015363. BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination has the potential to enhance prevention of cervical cancer, especially in countries where screening programmes are currently unaffordable or impractical. Rare adverse events and longer-term benefits of HPV vaccination, such as effects on cancer rates, are difficult to examine in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and require large data from population-level studies to inform decision-making. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess population-level effects of HPV vaccination programmes on HPV-related disease and harms from vaccination. SEARCH METHODS: We conducted electronic searches on 11 September 2024 in CENTRAL (Cochrane Library), Ovid MEDLINE and Ovid Embase. We also searched vaccine manufacturer websites and checked reference lists from an index of HPV studies and other relevant systematic reviews. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included studies that assessed the impact of HPV vaccination on the general population. This included population-level studies comparing outcomes before and after the introduction of HPV vaccine. We also included individual-level, non-randomised comparative studies, such as cohort studies, case-control studies, cross-sectional studies and self-controlled case series. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We used methods recommended by Cochrane. Two review authors carried out data extraction independently using pretested data extraction forms. We assessed the risk of bias of all included effect estimates using different tools according to study design. We carried out quantitative and qualitative data synthesis separately by outcome and study design. We performed meta-analysis on studies that reported effect estimates adjusted for confounding, with a focus on those receiving HPV vaccination at or before the age of 16 years (the target age group for vaccination). We rated the certainty of the evidence with GRADE. MAIN RESULTS: We included 225 studies from 347 records in this review, evaluating over 132 million people. We included 86 cohort studies, four case-control studies, 46 cross-sectional studies, 69 pre-post vaccine introduction studies, five RCT extensions and two self-controlled case series. Thirteen additional studies reported on more than one type of analysis. Of the included studies, 177 reported only on females, 11 only males and 37 a combination of males and females. Risk of bias ranged from overall moderate risk to critical risk. Clinical outcomes There was moderate-certainty evidence from 20 studies that HPV vaccination reduces the incidence of cervical cancer. Five cohort studies including 4,390,243 females reported adjusted estimates showing a reduced risk of cervical cancer following HPV vaccination in the long term (risk ratio (RR) 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.25 to 0.56; I2 = 88%). There was a significant interaction with age at vaccination, with a greater risk reduction in younger people. For those vaccinated at or before 16 years of age, covering 4.54 million person-years, there was an 80% reduced risk of cervical cancer (RR 0.20, 95% CI 0.09 to 0.44; I2 = 69%). One cohort study, one case-control study, one cross-sectional study and three RCT extension studies all reported no cases of cervical cancer in the HPV vaccine groups. Eight pre-post vaccine introduction studies each reported a reduction in cervical cancer incidence following HPV vaccine introduction but did not provide data in a form that allowed for meta-analysis. There was moderate-certainty evidence from 23 studies that HPV vaccination reduces the incidence of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or higher (CIN3+), including 12 cohort studies. For 1.5 million females vaccinated at or before the age of 16 years in two cohort studies, there was a reduction of CIN3+ incidence of 74% in the long term (RR 0.26, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.56; I2 = 80%). Three case-control studies, one RCT extension study and three cro...
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| Authors | Babić, B.M.;Milonjić, S.K.;Polovina, M.J.;Kaludierović, B.V. |
| Journal | carbon |
| Year | 1999 |
| DOI |
10.1016/S0008-6223(98)00216-4
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| Keywords | Keywords not found |
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