Offshore wind energy climate projection using UPSCALE climate data under the RCP8.5 emission scenario
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ID: 281654
2015
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Abstract
Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate
regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of
the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies
and a link between surface temperature and moist density in the estimate was
presented. In the present paper the methodology is tested further, to ensure
that the results using one climate data set are reliable. This is achieved by
extending the study to include four ensemble members. With the confidence that
one instantiation is sufficient a climate change data set, which was also a
result of the UPSCALE experiment, is analyzed. This, for the first time,
provides a projection of future changes in wind power resources using this data
set. This climate change data set is based on the Representative Concentration
Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario. This provides guidance for
developers and policy makers to mitigate and adapt.
| Reference Key |
magar2015offshore
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|---|---|
| Authors | Markus Gross; Vanesa Magar |
| Journal | arXiv |
| Year | 2015 |
| DOI |
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