ON THE PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO EVALUATING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF DEVELOPING PROMISING AIRCRAFT MODELS

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ID: 266560
2020
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Abstract
Creating a promising aircraft is an important area of state policy. Making the right decision to create a promising aircraft technology contributes to the economic assessment of the development efficiency. The subject of economic assessment is the updating of resources allocated for the development of the aircraft. An important component of ensuring high reliability of evaluating the effectiveness of the development of a promising aircraft is the methodology of its implementation. The methodology of economic assessment is aimed at determining economic indicators. The authors present the procedure for using the probability of economic success indicator in the economic assessment of the effectiveness of developing a promising aircraft when determining the feasibility of adopting a draft tactical and technical task for the development of an aircraft. To improve the accuracy of the economic assessment, it is proposed to use the standard error of alternative methods for calculating the cost of performing activities at the stages of the aircraft life cycle. The authors tested the proposed method on the example of a promising auxiliary power plant of a military transport aircraft. It is advisable to evaluate the cost of developing a promising auxiliary installation of a military transport aircraft based on the complexity of the development, determined depending on its basic complexity and cost. The authors tested the proposed method on the example of a promising auxiliary power plant of a military transport aircraft. The proposed method is applicable for calculating costs for other types of equipment at all stages of its life cycle.
Reference Key
Вадимович2020Вестникon Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Артеменко Игорь Вадимович;Igor V. Artemenko;Олешко Владимир Станиславович;Vladimir S. Oleshko;
Journal Вестник Самарского университета. Экономика и управление
Year 2020
DOI
10.18287/2542-0461-2020-11-3-156-166
URL
https://doi.org/10.18287/2542-0461-2020-11-3-156-166
Keywords
economics economic assessment aircraft probability flight aviation economics; economic assessment; probability; aviation; air transport; flight; aircraft; aviation equipmentэкономика экономическая оценка вероятность авиация воздушный транспорт полет летательный аппарат авиационная техника air transport aviation equipment economic assessment authors military models auxiliary calculating the cost promising aircraft developing a promising

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