influence of media on seasonal influenza epidemic curves
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ID: 226760
2016
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Abstract
Back ground: Theoretical investigations predicting the epidemic curves of seasonal influenza have been demonstrated so far; however, there is little empirical research using ever accumulated epidemic curves. The effects of vaccine coverage and information distribution on influenza epidemics were evaluated.
Materials and Methods: Four indices for epidemics (i.e., onset-peak duration, onset-end duration, ratio of the onset-peak duration to onset-end duration and steepness of epidemic curves) were defined, and the correlations between these indices and anti-flu drug prescription dose, vaccine coverage, the volume of media and search trend on influenza through internet were analyzed. Epidemiological data on seasonal influenza epidemics from 2002/2003 to 2013/2014 excluding 2009/2010 season were collected from National Institute of Infectious Diseases of Japan.
Results: The onset-peak duration and its ratio to onset-end duration correlated inversely with the volume of anti-flu drug prescription. Onset-peak duration correlated positively with media information volume on influenza. The steepness of the epidemic curve, and anti-flu drug prescription dose inversely correlated with the volume of media information. Pre-epidemic search trend and media volume on influenza correlated with the vaccine coverage in the season. Vaccine coverage had no strong effect on epidemic curve.
Conclusion: Education through media has an effect on the epidemic curve of seasonal influenza.
| Reference Key |
saito2016internationalinfluence
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| Authors | ;Satoshi Saito;Norihiro Saito;Masamichi Itoga;Hiromi Ozaki;Toshiyuki Kimura;Yuji Okamura;Hiroshi Murakami;Hiroyuki Kayaba |
| Journal | israel journal of chemistry |
| Year | 2016 |
| DOI |
10.1016/j.ijid.2016.07.005
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