a fast algorithm for calculating an expected outbreak size on dynamic contagion networks

Clicks: 109
ID: 222723
2016
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Abstract
Calculation of expected outbreak size of a simple contagion on a known contact network is a common and important epidemiological task, and is typically carried out by computationally intensive simulation. We describe an efficient exact method to calculate the expected outbreak size of a contagion on an outbreak-invariant network that is a directed and acyclic, allowing us to model all dynamically changing networks when contagion can only travel forward in time. We describe our algorithm and its use in pseudocode, as well as showing examples of its use on disease relevant, data-derived networks.
Reference Key
enright2016epidemicsa Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors ;Jessica Enright;Rowland R. Kao
Journal Communications biology
Year 2016
DOI
10.1016/j.epidem.2016.05.002
URL
Keywords Keywords not found

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