evaluating the impact of environmental temperature on global highly pathogenic avian influenza (hpai) h5n1 outbreaks in domestic poultry
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ID: 222317
2014
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Abstract
The emergence and spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A virus subtype H5N1 in Asia, Europe and Africa has had an enormously socioeconomic impact and presents an important threat to human health because of its efficient animal-to-human transmission. Many factors contribute to the occurrence and transmission of HPAI H5N1 virus, but the role of environmental temperature remains poorly understood. Based on an approach of integrating a Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model and a Besag-York-Mollié (BYM) model, we examined the specific impact of environmental temperature on HPAI H5N1 outbreaks in domestic poultry around the globe during the period from 1 December 2003 to 31 December 2009. The results showed that higher environmental temperature was a significant risk factor for earlier occurrence of HPAI H5N1 outbreaks in domestic poultry, especially for a temperature of 25 °C. Its impact varied with epidemic waves (EWs), and the magnitude of the impact tended to increase over EWs.
| Reference Key |
zhang2014internationalevaluating
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;Zhijie Zhang;Dongmei Chen;Yue Chen;Bo Wang;Yi Hu;Jie Gao;Liqian Sun;Rui Li;Chenglong Xiong |
| Journal | archives of biochemistry and biophysics |
| Year | 2014 |
| DOI |
10.3390/ijerph110606388
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