a framework for modelling the complexities of food and water security under globalisation

Clicks: 239
ID: 203681
2018
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Abstract
We present a new framework for modelling the complexities of food and water security under globalisation. The framework sets out a method to capture regional and sectoral interdependencies and cross-scale feedbacks within the global food system that contribute to emergent water use patterns. The framework integrates aspects of existing models and approaches in the fields of hydrology and integrated assessment modelling. The core of the framework is a multi-agent network of city agents connected by infrastructural trade networks. Agents receive socio-economic and environmental constraint information from integrated assessment models and hydrological models respectively and simulate complex, socio-environmental dynamics that operate within those constraints. The emergent changes in food and water resources are aggregated and fed back to the original models with minimal modification of the structure of those models. It is our conviction that the framework presented can form the basis for a new wave of decision tools that capture complex socio-environmental change within our globalised world. In doing so they will contribute to illuminating pathways towards a sustainable future for humans, ecosystems and the water they share.
Reference Key
dermody2018eartha framework Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors ;B. J. Dermody;B. J. Dermody;B. J. Dermody;M. Sivapalan;E. Stehfest;D. P. van Vuuren;D. P. van Vuuren;M. J. Wassen;M. F. P. Bierkens;S. C. Dekker;S. C. Dekker
Journal itinéraires
Year 2018
DOI
10.5194/esd-9-103-2018
URL
https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/9/103/2018/esd-9-103-2018.pdf
Keywords
sciencegeologydynamic and structural geology

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