a hydrological emulator for global applications – he v1.0.0
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2018
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Abstract
While global hydrological models (GHMs) are very useful in exploring water
resources and interactions between the Earth and human systems, their use
often requires numerous model inputs, complex model calibration, and high
computation costs. To overcome these challenges, we construct an efficient
open-source and ready-to-use hydrological emulator (HE) that can mimic complex GHMs at a range of spatial
scales (e.g., basin, region, globe). More specifically, we construct both
a lumped and a distributed scheme of the HE based on the monthly
abcd model to explore the tradeoff between computational cost and
model fidelity. Model predictability and computational efficiency
are evaluated in simulating global
runoff from 1971 to 2010 with both the lumped and distributed schemes. The
results are compared against the runoff product from the widely used Variable
Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model. Our evaluation indicates that the lumped
and distributed schemes present comparable results regarding annual total
quantity, spatial pattern, and temporal variation of the major water fluxes
(e.g., total runoff, evapotranspiration) across the global 235 basins (e.g.,
correlation coefficient r between the annual total runoff from either of
these two schemes and the VIC is > 0.96), except for several cold (e.g.,
Arctic, interior Tibet), dry (e.g., North Africa) and mountainous (e.g.,
Argentina) regions. Compared against the monthly total runoff product from
the VIC (aggregated from daily runoff), the global mean Kling–Gupta
efficiencies are 0.75 and 0.79 for the lumped and distributed schemes,
respectively, with the distributed scheme better capturing spatial
heterogeneity. Notably, the computation efficiency of the lumped scheme is 2
orders of magnitude higher than the distributed one and 7 orders more
efficient than the VIC model. A case study of uncertainty analysis for the
world's 16 basins with top annual streamflow is conducted using 100 000
model simulations, and it demonstrates the lumped scheme's extraordinary
advantage in computational efficiency. Our results suggest that the revised
lumped abcd model can serve as an efficient and
reasonable HE for complex GHMs and
is suitable for broad practical use, and the distributed scheme is also an
efficient alternative if spatial heterogeneity is of more interest.
| Reference Key |
liu2018geoscientifica hydrological
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;Y. Liu;Y. Liu;M. Hejazi;H. Li;X. Zhang;G. Leng |
| Journal | international journal of quantum chemistry |
| Year | 2018 |
| DOI |
10.5194/gmd-11-1077-2018
|
| URL | |
| Keywords |
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