assessing the usability and potential value of seasonal climate forecasts in land management decisions in the southwest uk: challenges and reflections
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2017
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Abstract
The potential usability and benefits of seasonal climate forecasts
(SCF) to help inform decision-making processes is widely accepted. However,
the practical use of SCF in Europe is still fairly recent and, as such,
current knowledge of the added benefits of SCF in supporting and improving
decision-making is limited. This study is based on research conducted to
co-develop a semi-operational climate service prototype – the Land
Management Tool (LMTool) – with farmers in South West regions of the UK. The
value of the SCF provided to the farmers was examined to help us understand
the usability and (potential) value of these forecasts in farmers' decisions
during the winter months of 2015/2016. The findings from the study point to
the need to explore and develop (new) research methods capable of addressing
the complexity of the decision-making processes, such as those in the farming
sector. The farmers who used the SCF perceived it as useful and usable as it
helped them change and adapt their decision-making and thus, avoid
unnecessary costs. However, to fully grasp the potential value of using SCF,
farmers emphasised the need for the provision of SCF for longer periods of
time to allow them to build trust and confidence in the information provided.
This paper contributes to ongoing discussions about how to assess the use and
value of SCF in decision-making processes in a meaningful and effective way.
| Reference Key |
soares2017advancesassessing
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;M. Bruno Soares |
| Journal | proceedings of the 2017 ieee russia section young researchers in electrical and electronic engineering conference, elconrus 2017 |
| Year | 2017 |
| DOI |
10.5194/asr-14-175-2017
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| URL | |
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