data derived narmax dst model

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ID: 176664
2011
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Abstract
The NARMAX OLS-ERR methodology is applied to identify a mathematical model for the dynamics of the Dst index. The NARMAX OLS-ERR algorithm, which is widely used in the field of system identification, is able to identify a mathematical model for a wide class of nonlinear systems using input and output data. Solar wind-magnetosphere coupling functions, derived from analytical or data based methods, are employed as the inputs to such models and the outputs are geomagnetic indices. The newly deduced coupling function, p1/2V4/3BTsin6(θ/2), has been implemented as an input to model the Dst dynamics. It was shown that the identified model has a very good forecasting ability, especially with the geomagnetic storms.
Reference Key
boynton2011annalesdata Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors ;R. J. Boynton;M. A. Balikhin;S. A. Billings;A. S. Sharma;O. A. Amariutei
Journal journal of food measurement and characterization
Year 2011
DOI
10.5194/angeo-29-965-2011
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