weather@home 2: validation of an improved global–regional climate modelling system
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2017
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Abstract
Extreme
weather events can have large impacts on society and, in many regions, are
expected to change in frequency and intensity with climate change. Owing to
the relatively short observational record, climate models are useful tools as
they allow for generation of a larger sample of extreme events, to attribute
recent events to anthropogenic climate change, and to project changes in such
events into the future. The modelling system known as weather@home,
consisting of a global climate model (GCM) with a nested regional climate
model (RCM) and driven by sea surface temperatures, allows one to generate a
very large ensemble with the help of volunteer distributed computing. This is
a key tool to understanding many aspects of extreme events. Here, a new
version of the weather@home system (weather@home 2) with a higher-resolution
RCM over Europe is documented and a broad validation of the climate is
performed. The new model includes a more recent land-surface scheme in both
GCM and RCM, where subgrid-scale land-surface heterogeneity is newly
represented using tiles, and an increase in RCM resolution from 50 to 25 km.
The GCM performs similarly to the previous version, with some improvements in
the representation of mean climate. The European RCM temperature biases are
overall reduced, in particular the warm bias over eastern Europe, but large
biases remain. Precipitation is improved over the Alps in summer, with mixed
changes in other regions and seasons. The model is shown to represent the
main classes of regional extreme events reasonably well and shows a good
sensitivity to its drivers. In particular, given the improvements in this
version of the weather@home system, it is likely that more reliable
statements can be made with regards to impact statements, especially at more
localized scales.
| Reference Key |
guillod2017geoscientificweather@home
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;B. P. Guillod;R. G. Jones;A. Bowery;K. Haustein;N. R. Massey;D. M. Mitchell;F. E. L. Otto;S. N. Sparrow;P. Uhe;D. C. H. Wallom;S. Wilson;M. R. Allen |
| Journal | international journal of quantum chemistry |
| Year | 2017 |
| DOI |
10.5194/gmd-10-1849-2017
|
| URL | |
| Keywords |
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