design of deep belief networks for short-term prediction of drought index using data in the huaihe river basin
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2012
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Abstract
With the global climate change, drought disasters occur frequently. Drought prediction is an important content for drought disaster management, planning and management of water resource systems of a river basin. In this study, a short-term drought prediction model based on deep belief networks (DBNs) is proposed to predict the time series of different time-scale standardized precipitation index (SPI). The DBN model is applied to predict the drought time series in the Huaihe River Basin, China. Compared with BP neural network, the DBN-based drought prediction model has shown better predictive skills than the BP neural network for the different time-scale SPI. This research can improve drought prediction technology and be helpful for water resources managers and decision makers in managing drought disasters.
| Reference Key |
chen2012mathematicaldesign
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|---|---|
| Authors | ;Junfei Chen;Qiongji Jin;Jing Chao |
| Journal | journal of power sources |
| Year | 2012 |
| DOI |
10.1155/2012/235929
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| URL | |
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