analyzing and forecasting the european social climate

تحليل المناخ الاجتماعي الأوروبي والتنبؤ به

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ID: 148659
2015
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Abstract
The paper uses the results of the sample survey Eurobarometer, which has been requested by the European Commission. The social climate index is used to measure the level of perceptions of population by taking into account their personal situation and their perspective at national level. The paper makes an analysis of the evolution of social climate indices for the countries of European Union and offers information about the expectations of population of analyzed countries. The obtained results can be compared with the forecasting of Eurobarometer, on short term of one year and medium term of five years. Modelling the social climate index and its influence factors offers useful information about the efficiency of social protection and inclusion policies.
تعتمد هذه الورقة البحثية على نتائج المسح بالعينة "يوروباروميتر" (Eurobarometer)، الذي أُجري بتكليف من المفوضية الأوروبية. ويُستخدم مؤشر المناخ الاجتماعي لقياس مستوى تصورات السكان مع مراعاة وضعهم الشخصي ومنظورهم على المستوى الوطني. كما تقدم الورقة تحليلاً لتطور مؤشرات المناخ الاجتماعي لدول الاتحاد الأوروبي، وتوفر معلومات عن تطلعات سكان البلدان الخاضعة للتحليل. ويمكن مقارنة النتائج التي تم التوصل إليها بتنبؤات "يوروباروميتر" على المدى القصير (سنة واحدة) والمدى المتوسط (خمس سنوات). وتوفر نمذجة مؤشر المناخ الاجتماعي والعوامل المؤثرة فيه معلومات قيّمة حول كفاءة سياسات الحماية الاجتماعية والشمول الاجتماعي.
Reference Key
dugulean2015bulletinanalyzing Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Liliana Duguleană, Constantin Duguleană
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Journal environmental toxicology and pharmacology
Year 2015
DOI
DOI not found
URL
http://webbut.unitbv.ro/BU_2015/Series%20V/BULETIN%20I%20PDF/24_Duguleana_L.pdf
Keywords
unemployment rate demographyeconomics as a science forecastingeconomic theory

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