Classification of position management strategies at the order-book level and their influences on future market-price formation.

Clicks: 260
ID: 13425
2019
Article Quality & Performance Metrics
Overall Quality
Not rated
Combines reader engagement with the AI quality analysis. This article has not been analysed, so there is no overall score — reader engagement is measured and shown alongside.
AI Quality Assessment
Not analyzed
Readership in this journal
Steady

Ranked #1,198 of 2,056 articles by views in PloS one

Most read Least read

Bar heights use a square-root scale. Only the 120 most-read articles are drawn; the journal has 2,056 in total.

Mint this article as an NFT
Not yet minted

Create a permanent, verifiable on-chain record of this article on the Scimatic Network. The NFT is held in your Journament account, and you can withdraw it to your own wallet at any time.

5 SUSD one-off · no wallet required
Sign in to mint
Abstract
Financial prices fluctuate as a results of the market impact of the flow of transactions between traders. Reciprocally, several studies of market microstructure have shown how decisions of individual traders or banks, implemented in their trading strategies, are affected by historical market information. However, little is known about the detailed processes of how such trading strategies at the micro level recursively affect future market information at the macro level. Using a special fined-grained dataset that allows us to track the complete trading behavior of specific banks in a U.S. dollar (USD) versus Japanese yen (JPY) market, we find that position management methods, defined as the number of units of USD bought or sold by banks against JPY, can be classified into two strategies: (1) banks increase their positions by trading in the same direction repeatedly, or (2) banks attempt to reduce their inventories by rapidly shifting their positions toward zero. We then demonstrate that their systematic position management strategies strongly influence future market prices, as demonstrated by our ability using this information to predict market prices about fifteen minutes in advance. Further, by detecting outlier trades, we reveal that traders seem to switch their strategies when they become aware of outlier trades. The evidence obtained here suggests that positions, which are a consequence of historical trading decisions based on the position management strategies of each bank, strongly influence future market prices, and we unravel how market prices at the macro level evolve through an interactive process involving the interaction between well-defined trading strategies at the micro level.
Reference Key
sueshige2019classificationplos Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Sueshige, Takumi;Sornette, Didier;Takayasu, Hideki;Takayasu, Misako;
Journal PloS one
Year 2019
DOI
10.1371/journal.pone.0220645
URL
Keywords Keywords not found

Citations

No citations found. To add a citation, contact the admin at info@scimatic.org

Comments

No comments yet. Be the first to comment on this article.