scenarios for ecosystem services: an overview

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ID: 133691
2006
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Abstract
The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) scenarios address changes in ecosystem services and their implications for human well-being. Ecological changes pose special challenges for long-term thinking, because of the possibility of regime shifts that occur rapidly yet alter the availability of ecosystem services for generations. Moreover, ecological feedbacks can intensify human modification of ecosystems, creating a spiral of poverty and ecosystem degradation. Such complex dynamics were evaluated by a mixture of qualitative and quantitative analyses in the MA scenarios. Collectively, the scenarios explore problems such as the connections of poverty reduction and ecosystem services, and trade-offs among ecosystem services. Several promising approaches are considered by the scenarios, including uses of biodiversity to build resilience of ecosystem services, actively adaptive management, and green technology. Although the scenarios do not prescribe an optimal path, they illuminate the consequences of different policies toward ecosystem services.
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carpenter2006ecologyscenarios Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors ;Stephen R. Carpenter;Elena M. Bennett;Garry D. Peterson
Journal ieee access
Year 2006
DOI
10.5751/ES-01610-110129
URL
http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol11/iss1/art29/
Keywords
resilience ecosystem services adaptive governance ambiguity poverty reduction regime shift scenarios

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