a dinâmica da taxa de lucro, da taxa de juros e do grau de utilização da capacidade produtiva em um modelo pós-keynesiano
ديناميكية معدل الربح، وسعر الفائدة، ودرجة استغلال الطاقة الإنتاجية في نموذج ما بعد كينزي
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Abstract
The objective of this paper is to analyze the dynamic path of the profit rate, the interest rate, the rate of capital accumulation and the degree of utilization of the productive capacity - face exogenous changes of the intensity of technological progress and the propensity to save of capitalists within a Post-Keynesian macroeconomic dynamic model that join the real and monetary side of the economy. The computational simulation allowed investigating the degree of proximity of the model to the dynamics of a real economy. The simulation showed, amongst other results, that: (i) the profit rate is significantly elastic with regard to the rate of technological progress, while the interests rate and the degree of utilization of the capacity are little sensible to this variable; and (ii) the confirmation of the paradox of the thrift, according to which an increase of the propensity to save of the capitalists reduces the level of the aggregate saving.
يهدف هذا البحث إلى تحليل المسار الديناميكي لمعدل الربح، وسعر الفائدة، ومعدل تراكم رأس المال، ودرجة استغلال الطاقة الإنتاجية، في مواجهة التغيرات الخارجية في كثافة التقدم التكنولوجي وميل الرأسماليين إلى الادخار، وذلك في إطار نموذج ديناميكي كلي ما بعد كينزي يربط بين الجانبين الحقيقي والنقدي للاقتصاد. وقد أتاحت المحاكاة الحاسوبية استقصاء مدى قرب النموذج من ديناميكيات الاقتصاد الحقيقي. وأظهرت المحاكاة، من بين نتائج أخرى، ما يلي: (أولاً) أن معدل الربح يتمتع بمرونة ملحوظة بالنسبة لمعدل التقدم التكنولوجي، بينما يُعد سعر الفائدة ودرجة استغلال الطاقة الإنتاجية قليلي الحساسية لهذا المتغير؛ (ثانياً) تأكيد مفارقة التوفير، والتي تنص على أن زيادة ميل الرأسماليين إلى الادخار تؤدي إلى تقليص مستوى الادخار الكلي.
| Reference Key |
carvalho2007estudosa
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|---|---|
| Authors | |
| Journal | estudos econômicos |
| Year | 2007 |
| DOI |
10.1590/S0101-41612007000400008
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| URL | |
| Keywords | Keywords not found |
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