COINTEGRATION EVIDENCES FROM THE NEW FRAGILE FIVE

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ID: 113889
2020
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Abstract
Purpose of this study is to test the association between savings and current account deficit of the “New Fragile Five” falling into critical cycle. 1994-2019 period annual national savings, current account balance and external debt have been analyzed within the framework of panel data analysis. At the modeling stage of the research focused on the cointegration relationship. Panel cointegration tests with structural breaks based on LM were used. To examine the unique economic structures of countries, heterogeneous estimating techniques were employed. The research has four important findings; i.There is a cointegration relationship between indicators, ii.The external debt increases the current account deficit, iii.The increase of savings in Turkey decreases the current account deficit, iv.An increase in savings increases the current account deficit in Argentina, Egypt, Pakistan and Qatar. This study, which will contribute to the expansion of typology, is also contributory to the “Triple Deficit Hypothesis”.
Reference Key
ÇİĞdem2020journalcointegration Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Gülgün ÇİĞDEM;Merve ALTAYLAR;
Journal journal of life economics
Year 2020
DOI
10.15637/jlecon.7.020
URL
https://journals.gen.tr/jlecon/article/view/1148
Keywords
unit root with structural breaks

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