ESTIMACIÓN DE LA DEMANDA: UN ANÁLISIS DE MÉTODOS Y SUS APLICACIONES
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ID: 108738
2018
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Abstract
Resumen
La estimación de la demanda es un elemento esencial para el buen funcionamiento de una empresa. Se han desarrollado numerosos métodos cualitativos y cuantitativos que permiten un adecuado pronóstico de la demanda, que unido al análisis del mercado donde opera la empresa, permite una buena estimación de esta. Se explican los métodos cualitativos más utilizados y los modelos de series de tiempo para el pronóstico cuantitativo. Se muestra un ejemplo de aplicación de la Serie de Tiempo (ST) utilizando el paquete estadístico Minitab 15.
Palabras claves: demanda, mercado, métodos de pronóstico
Summary The estimation of demand is an essential element for the proper functioning of a company. Numerous qualitative and quantitative methods have been developed that allow an adequate forecast of the demand, which together with the analysis of the market where the company operates, allows a good estimate of this. The most used qualitative methods and time series models for quantitative forecasting are explained. An example of application of the TS is shown using the Minitab 15 statistical package.
Keywords: demand, market, forecasting methods
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Placeres2018revistaESTIMACIÓN
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| Authors | Arturo Bofill Placeres;José Antonio Díaz Batista; |
| Journal | Revista Cubana de Administración Pública y Empresarial |
| Year | 2018 |
| DOI |
47
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