Urban warming advances spring phenology but reduces the response of phenology to temperature in the conterminous United States.

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ID: 103324
2020
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Abstract
Urbanization has caused environmental changes, such as urban heat islands (UHIs), that affect terrestrial ecosystems. However, how and to what extent urbanization affects plant phenology remains relatively unexplored. Here, we investigated the changes in the satellite-derived start of season (SOS) and the covariation between SOS and temperature ( ) in 85 large cities across the conterminous United States for the period 2001-2014. We found that 1) the SOS came significantly earlier (6.1 ± 6.3 d) in 74 cities and was significantly weaker (0.03 ± 0.07) in 43 cities when compared with their surrounding rural areas ( < 0.05); 2) the decreased magnitude in mainly occurred in cities in relatively cold regions with an annual mean temperature <17.3 °C (e.g., Minnesota, Michigan, and Pennsylvania); and 3) the magnitude of urban-rural difference in both SOS and was primarily correlated with the intensity of UHI. Simulations of two phenology models further suggested that more and faster heat accumulation contributed to the earlier SOS, while a decrease in required chilling led to a decline in magnitude in urban areas. These findings provide observational evidence of a reduced covariation between temperature and SOS in major US cities, implying the response of spring phenology to warming conditions in nonurban environments may decline in the warming future.
Reference Key
meng2020urbanproceedings Use this key to autocite in the manuscript while using SciMatic Manuscript Manager or Thesis Manager
Authors Meng, Lin;Mao, Jiafu;Zhou, Yuyu;Richardson, Andrew D;Lee, Xuhui;Thornton, Peter E;Ricciuto, Daniel M;Li, Xuecao;Dai, Yongjiu;Shi, Xiaoying;Jia, Gensuo;
Journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Year 2020
DOI
10.1073/pnas.1911117117
URL
Keywords
urbanization phenology urban heat island temperature response

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